H ere's where Tammy lies right now . Hurricane Tammy Case Study ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is just east of Guadeloupe as it approaches the northwest. Tammy has strengthened modestly given that Friday night.
The storm reinforced into a typhoon on Friday early morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon location for a hurricane to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical scientist at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy must turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be a concern for the continental United States.
The path northward far from the Caribbean has ended up being less certain. Tammy was initially anticipated to be recorded by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, but computer assistance is now recommending that the storm may drift around in between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for a long time.
Cyclone Katrina (August 2005) became a large and very powerful cyclone that triggered enormous damage and significant loss of life. It is the costliest hurricane to ever hit the United States, surpassing the record previously held by Hurricane Andrew from 1992.
Hurricane Katrina - Wikipedia
The biggest loss of life in Cyclone Katrina was because of flooding brought on by engineering flaws in the flood defense system, particularly the levee around the city of New Orleans. Eventually, 80% of the city, in addition to large areas in neighboring parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Cyclone cautions have now been released for numerous islands in the northeast Caribbean. That means cyclone conditions are expected in a few of these locations. You can see the most recent warnings and watches in the map listed below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high browse from Tammy ought to spread out across the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those effects will last through at least early Sunday in some locations.
Rainfall overalls could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area as much as 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands may see 2 to 4 inches of rain (in your area as much as 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rainfall (locally approximately 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall could cause flooding and mudslides in a few of these areas.
Norma, now a Classification 1 storm as of 2 p.m. ET, is expected to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- including Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Typhoon Center stated.
Air Force Reserve Typhoon Hunters observed Norma's center situated offshore simply west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and typhoon and conditions were happening over some areas of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the typhoon center.
Norma is anticipated to be slightly weaker by the time it hits land, but it still will be a typhoon that might bring life-threatening conditions to a tourist-friendly area that's home to a couple of hundred thousand people, the cyclone center stated.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Cyclone Tammy-- a Category 1 storm since Saturday afternoon-- has actually triggered cyclone warnings for parts of the Leeward Islands, a chain of a number of island nations and territories in between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds gained ground to 85 miles per hour.
Neither storm is a threat to the United States.
In the Atlantic, Tammy kept maximum continual winds of 85 mph and was focused about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Typhoon Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.
The Category 1 hurricane lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the hurricane center said.
Tammy is expected to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- consisting of Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and then move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended outward approximately 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outside as much as 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are unusual for late October. Tammy is only the third cyclone to form this far southeast in the Atlantic considering that 1900, according to cyclone specialist Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming cyclone in this part of the Atlantic considering that 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research study researcher in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Typhoon specialists previously cautioned hurricanes could form in uncommon areas later in the season this year because of the exceptionally warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be one of the storm's most serious dangers and could result in flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall totals for the Leeward Islands are expected to be 4 to 8 inches, however might reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain establishes. Rain must be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and United States Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is probably.
Conditions will start to improve from south to north throughout the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the area.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, only 2 names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the standard Atlantic storm name list before the typhoon center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy